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    4. Head to head betting explained: odds, margin and draws

    Head to head betting explained: odds, margin and draws

    Head to head betting explained: reading H2H odds as chances, the margin worked at $1.70 and $2.20, two-way and three-way markets and how draws settle by sport.

    By the B337 team. Last updated 7 October 2026.

    The short answer

    • Head to head betting is a bet on which side wins the game, with no points start and no score to guess: $50 at $1.70, for example, returns $85 if your team wins.
    • H2H is short for head to head, the Australian name for the market US bookmakers call the moneyline.
    • Divide 1 by each price to read the chance it implies: for example, $1.70 and $2.20 imply 58.82% and 45.45%, a 104.28% book, so the bookmaker's margin is 4.28%.
    • When a game ends level, the rule behind your bet settles it: in a two-way market a team bet pays half its return as a dead heat or is refunded, while in a three-way market only the draw wins.
    • Under the NSW rule book a soccer result settles at the end of normal time, so a team that wins in extra time or on penalties does not win a match result bet.

    On this page

    1. How head to head odds work
    2. The margin, worked at $1.70 and $2.20
    3. Two-way and three-way head to head markets
    4. How draws settle by sport
    5. Head to head or line on the same game
    6. Comparing head to head prices across bookmakers
    7. Mistakes with head to head bets
    8. When head to head is the wrong market

    Head to head betting is a bet on which team or player wins the game, and nothing else: there is no points start and no score to predict. You back one side at its decimal price and are paid stake x price if it wins, so at illustrative prices of $1.70 and $2.20, $50 on the favourite returns $85 and $50 on the outsider returns $110.

    H2H is the abbreviation, and US sites call the same bet the moneyline. Its two prices show how likely the bookmaker rates each side and how much it keeps, and the result that catches people out is the draw.

    How head to head odds work

    Australian bookmakers quote head to head odds as decimal prices, and a decimal price includes your stake: a winning bet returns stake x price, and 1 / price is the chance the price implies. With illustrative prices for one game, Team A against Team B, and $50 on each side:

    SelectionPrice$50 returns if it winsProfitImplied probability
    Team A$1.70$85.00$35.001 / 1.70 = 58.82%
    Team B$2.20$110.00$60.001 / 2.20 = 45.45%

    A losing bet returns nothing. The implied probability doubles as the strike rate a price needs to break even: if you keep backing sides at $1.70, 58.82% of those bets have to win just to get your money back. Implied probability has a chart that runs from short prices to long ones.

    In American odds, $1.70 is -143 (-100 / 0.70 = -142.86) and $2.20 is +120 (1.20 x 100), and the odds converter handles any other price.

    The margin, worked at $1.70 and $2.20

    The two implied probabilities add up to 58.824% + 45.455% = 104.28%, not 100%. The extra 4.28 percentage points is the bookmaker's margin, also called the overround.

    Suppose bets arrive so either result costs the bookmaker the same: about $564 of every $1,000 on Team A and $436 on Team B. Either way it pays out about $959 ($564 x 1.70 = $958.80, $436 x 2.20 = $959.20) and keeps about $41, or 4.1%.

    If that 4.28% margin costs both sides the same, about 95.9 cents of each $1 bet on either side comes back on average (1 / 1.0428 = 0.959). Turning each price into a fair one means taking the margin out, and removing the bookmaker margin compares the ways to do it.

    Bookmaker margin compares margins across market types, and the bookmaker margin calculator works out a market's book from its prices.

    Two-way and three-way head to head markets

    A two-way market prices the two sides only. It suits sports where a level score is rare or impossible, such as AFL, rugby league, basketball and tennis, and it leaves the occasional draw to a settlement rule. A three-way market adds a price for the draw, the usual shape where draws are common, such as Test cricket and soccer, where the market is called 1X2 betting.

    With illustrative soccer prices of $2.45 for the home side, $3.30 for the draw and $2.95 for the away side, the three implied probabilities add up to 40.82% + 30.30% + 33.90% = 105.02%. Two soccer markets sit between two-way and three-way: draw no bet refunds your stake on a draw, and double chance covers two of the three results at a shorter price.

    What a draw does to your bet

    Market and draw ruleA bet on either teamA bet on the draw
    Three-way, with a draw priceLosesWins
    Two-way, draw settled as a dead heatPaid half its face valueNo draw bet offered
    Two-way, draw settled as voidStake refundedNo draw bet offered

    The NSW Bookmaker Declared Betting Events Betting Rules bind bookmakers licensed in NSW and authorised to take sports bets. Where no draw price was offered, they divide the payout by the number of sides tied and multiply it by the places they share, which on a head to head is half the face value (clause 5.1.8). Where the market did offer a draw price, every bet except the draw loses (clause 5.1.7). Bookmakers licensed elsewhere write their own draw rule, so find it in the terms.

    Example: Illustrative prices, a drawn two-way game, $50 on each side. Team B's face value is $50 x 2.20 = $110, so a dead heat pays $110 / 2 = $55, a $5 profit; Team A's face value is $85, so it pays $42.50, a $7.50 loss. A void rule returns $50 on each, and where the draw had its own price both lose. A dead heat pays more than a refund on any price above $2.00, because half the face value is then more than the stake.

    How draws settle by sport

    Each sport's own rules decide whether a game can finish level, and the rule book behind your bet decides what a level finish pays:

    SportCan it finish level?What that means for a head to head betGuide
    AFLHome-and-away games can be drawn, two premiership points each (AFL Regulation 2.5); a final level at full time goes to Additional Time (2.8)A drawn home-and-away game goes to the draw rule; in a final, the rule decides whether extra time countsAFL draw rules
    NRLLevel after 80 minutes: up to 10 minutes of golden point, then a draw; finals play 10 minutes of extra time, then golden pointA game still level after golden point goes to the draw ruleNRL betting
    SoccerYes, oftenThe result market prices the draw, settled at the end of normal time under the NSW rule book (5.2.7.3)soccer betting
    CricketTests can be drawn or tied; many T20 competitions decide a tie with a super overNSW rule book: a tied Test pays either team half its face value and the draw loses (5.2.2.4(f)); T20 bets leave out the super over unless stated (5.2.2.3(h))cricket betting
    BasketballNo: overtime until one side leadsThe NSW rule book counts extra time unless agreed otherwise (5.1.2)overtime in NBA betting
    TennisNoNSW rule book: a retirement or withdrawal voids single bets on the match (5.2.8.3)tennis betting

    The NRL times are from its Telstra Premiership interpretations of the Laws of the Game (2023 edition), and the AFL's from its Regulations of February 2026. The settlement rules every sport shares, from postponements to players who never take the field, are in sports betting explained.

    Head to head or line on the same game

    A head to head bet asks whether your side wins. A line bet asks whether it wins once one side has been given a points start, which is why a favourite's line price sits near even money while its head to head price is short. With illustrative prices for the same game, Team A -4.5 at $1.93 and Team B +4.5 at $1.89, and $50 on each bet:

    ResultTeam A head to head at $1.70Team A -4.5 at $1.93Team B +4.5 at $1.89
    Team A by 10Returns $85.00Returns $96.50Loses
    Team A by 3Returns $85.00LosesReturns $94.50
    DrawSettled by the draw ruleLosesReturns $94.50
    Team B by 6LosesLosesReturns $94.50

    Team A by 3 is the result the two markets disagree on: it wins the head to head and loses the line. Backing Team A at -4.5 for $1.93 instead of $1.70 means giving up every Team A win by 1 to 4 points. Turning one price into the other is only approximate, because it depends on how often games finish that close.

    Comparing head to head prices across bookmakers

    Every bookmaker sets its own prices, so the same team can pay differently at each one. With illustrative prices for one game at three bookmakers:

    BookmakerTeam ATeam BBook$50 on Team A returns
    Bookmaker A$1.70$2.20104.28%$85.00
    Bookmaker B$1.75$2.10104.76%$87.50
    Bookmaker C$1.66$2.28104.10%$83.00

    Taking $1.75 instead of $1.66 returns $4.50 more on a $50 winner, and 1.75 / 1.66 = 1.054, so every winning bet at that gap pays 5.4% more. The smallest book is not always the best price on your side: Bookmaker C has the lowest margin across both sides and the shortest Team A price.

    The best price on each side, $1.75 and $2.28, makes a combined book of 57.14% + 43.86% = 101.00%. When the best prices add up to less than 100%, backing both sides is an arbitrage, which only works if both bets are accepted at the prices shown. A bookmaker can also limit your stakes, void bets or close your account under its terms.

    Compare only the same bet: markets with different draw or extra time rules are different bets at different prices. And compare before the start, because an Australian provider may take an online bet on a sporting event only before it begins (Interactive Gambling Act 2001, s 10B and s 8A(3)).

    B337's Terminal lines these prices up on one screen: each bookmaker has a column for head to head, line and total markets, and the best available price on each selection is picked out. It carries prices from 40+ bookmakers across racing and sports, with Betfair back and lay beside them, though not every bookmaker prices every game.

    Prices are read on a repeating cycle, so a figure on the odds comparison board can trail the bookmaker's own: confirm it in your account. A free account opens a limited view of the Terminal with live odds. Bookmaker names are trade marks of their owners. B337 is not affiliated with them.

    Risk: Betting involves risk. A better price raises what a winning bet returns, not the chance that it wins, and the price can change between your click and the bookmaker accepting the bet. See responsible gambling for limits and support.

    Mistakes with head to head bets

    MistakeWhat it costs here (illustrative prices)The fix
    Treating a short price as safe$1.25 implies 80%, so at that chance one bet in five still losesRead the price as a chance, not a verdict
    Expecting your stake back on a drawn gameA dead heat pays $42.50 on the $50 Team A bet at $1.70, and in a three-way market a team bet pays nothingFind the draw rule before you bet
    Backing a soccer team to win a knockout game in extra timeExtra time only follows a draw, so the team's 90-minute result bet has already lost under the NSW rule bookRead which period the market covers
    Betting at the first bookmaker you open$50 at $1.66 rather than $1.75 gives up $4.50 on a winCheck two or three prices first
    Joining favourites in a multi for a bigger priceFour legs from 104.28% markets compound to 1.04278 x 1.04278 x 1.04278 x 1.04278 = 1.1824, a 118.2% book, about $84.57 back per $100 on averageCount what each extra leg adds to the book; multi bets show how the margin builds

    Risk: Betting involves risk. Avoiding these mistakes lowers what your bets cost, not the chance that any one of them loses, and every cost in the table is on illustrative prices. See responsible gambling for limits and support.

    When head to head is the wrong market

    • When your view is about the size of the win. The line asks that question directly; the head to head only asks whether your side wins.
    • When the price is very short. One upset undoes several wins: at an illustrative $1.12, eight winning $100 bets make 8 x $12 = $96, and one loss costs $100.
    • When a draw is likely and you want cover for it. In soccer, double chance pays on a win or a draw, and draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw.
    • When you cannot find what a draw, a retirement or extra time does to the bet. Until you can, you are betting on terms you have not read.

    Risk: Betting involves risk. A head to head price is the bookmaker's view with a margin added, and a favourite at a short price still loses some of the time. See responsible gambling for limits and support.

    Questions

    What does H2H mean in betting?
    H2H is short for head to head. On a game it is a bet on which side wins; on a golf, motorsport or cricket market it can also be a bet on which of two named competitors does better, settled on that pair alone.
    Is head to head the same as the moneyline?
    Yes. Moneyline is the US name and head to head the Australian one, and only the way the price is written changes: $1.70 is -143 in American odds and $2.20 is +120.
    What happens to a head to head bet if a tennis player retires?
    The retirement rule that covers your bet decides it. Under the NSW rule book a retirement voids single bets on the match and the stake comes back (clause 5.2.8.3), while other rule types let the bet stand once a set has been completed, or as soon as the match has started.
    Is head to head or line betting better?
    Neither is cheaper by default, because the two markets ask different questions about one game: who wins, and who wins once one side has a start. Work out the margin on both at your bookmaker and bet the one that matches your view.

    Sources

    • Bookmaker Declared Betting Events Betting Rules, NSW Government
    • AFL Regulations, 11 February 2026, Australian Football League
    • Rugby League Laws of the Game with NRL Telstra Premiership interpretations, 2023 edition, NRL
    • Interactive Gambling Act 2001, Federal Register of Legislation

    Related

    • Sports betting explained: markets, margins and the rules in Australia
    • Line betting explained: points starts, half points and pushes
    • Implied probability: how to turn betting odds into a percentage
    • Bookmaker margin (overround): how it is built into the odds and how to measure it
    • Odds comparison
    • Multi bet explained: how the legs multiply and why the margin compounds
    • NBL betting explained: markets, FIBA rules, imports and finals
    • Over under betting explained: how totals work and what moves them
    • Pick'em betting explained: more or less picks and multipliers

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