Kelly criterion calculator
How much of your bank a bet with an edge deserves.
Your bet
The price you can get, and how likely you think it is to win.
Your estimate
%
$
Kelly fraction
Recommended stake
Bigger edge, bigger bet. No edge, no bet.
Fill in the numbers to see the result.
How it works
- Kelly fraction = (odds × chance − 1) ÷ (odds − 1).
- Full Kelly swings hard; most bettors stake a half or a quarter of it.
- No edge means no bet.
Betting involves risk. Bookmakers can restrict or close accounts and void bets, automation can fail, prices move, and a positive expected value (+EV) bet can still lose. Promotions carry each bookmaker's own terms. There is no guarantee of profit. See responsible gambling for limits and support.
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All toolsBy the B337 team. Last updated .