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    4. Match rating in matched betting, with commission

    Match rating in matched betting, with commission

    Match rating in matched betting: back odds / lay odds x 100, worked at $3.00 and $3.10 for 96.8%, and how commission turns it into the real cost of a bet.

    By the B337 team. Last updated 7 October 2026.

    The short answer

    • A match rating compares a bookmaker's back price with an exchange's lay price for the same selection, as a percentage: back odds / lay odds x 100.
    • For example, $3.00 to back against $3.10 to lay rates 3.00 / 3.10 x 100 = 96.8%, and the closer a rating is to 100%, the smaller the gap between the prices.
    • The plain rating leaves out commission: at an illustrative 6%, the same pair keeps 92.8% of a cash stake, so a $70 qualifying bet costs about $5.07.
    • A rating over 100% means the back price is longer than the lay price, but commission can still leave the pair at a small loss.
    • For a stake-not-returned bonus bet the rating can mislead, because a bonus bet keeps more of its value at longer prices even when they rate lower.

    On this page

    1. How to work out a match rating
    2. Commission and the real rating
    3. Why ratings mislead on bonus bets
    4. Comparing back and lay prices on the Terminal

    A match rating is a percentage that shows how closely a bookmaker's back price matches an exchange's lay price for the same selection: back odds / lay odds x 100. In matched betting it ranks possible qualifying bets for the offers in betting promotions in Australia. With illustrative prices, $3.00 to back against $3.10 to lay rates 3.00 / 3.10 x 100 = 96.8%. A higher rating means a smaller gap, and usually a smaller cost to cover the bet.

    Odds matchers sort bookmaker and exchange prices by this figure, as matched betting software explains, but the plain figure leaves out commission and treats every stake as cash.

    How to work out a match rating

    Divide the back price by the lay price and multiply by 100. With illustrative prices:

    BackLayWorkingMatch rating
    $3.00$3.103.00 / 3.10 x 10096.8%
    $3.20$3.103.20 / 3.10 x 100103.2%

    Commission and the real rating

    Commission comes off a winning lay, at a rate the exchange sets. For a cash stake, the share you keep after a balanced lay is back odds x (1 - commission) / (lay odds - commission). At $3.00 and $3.10:

    Commission (illustrative)WorkingShare keptAbout what a $70 bet costs
    0%3.00 / 3.1096.8%$2.26
    6%3.00 x 0.94 / 3.0492.8%$5.07

    At 6%, the lay stake is 70 x 3.00 / (3.10 - 0.06) = $69.08, with a liability of 69.08 x 2.10 = $145.07. The pair loses $5.07 if the selection wins and 70 - 69.08 x 0.94 = $5.06 if it loses. That cost is the qualifying loss, and the back lay calculator works it for any stake and rate.

    A rating over 100% is not always a profit. $3.20 against $3.10 rates 103.2%, but at 6% it keeps 3.20 x 0.94 / 3.04 = 98.9% of the stake, a small loss. The pair only gains when back odds x (1 - commission) is more than lay odds - commission, and then it is an arbitrage, which arbitrage betting in Australia covers.

    Risk: Betting involves risk. An arbitrage only works if every bet is accepted at the price shown, and what each bookmaker's terms allow decides whether you can bet this way there. A bookmaker can limit stakes, void bets or close an account. See responsible gambling for limits and support.

    Why ratings mislead on bonus bets

    A stake-not-returned bonus bet is laid for its winnings only, so it keeps (back odds - 1) x (1 - commission) / (lay odds - commission) of its face value, which favours longer prices. At an illustrative 6%, $8.00 against $8.40 rates only 95.2% yet keeps 7.00 x 0.94 / 8.34 = 78.9% of a bonus bet, against 2.00 x 0.94 / 3.04 = 61.8% for the 96.8% pair. Sort bonus bets by the share kept, not the rating.

    Risk: Betting involves risk. The two prices behind a rating are a snapshot, and a longer lay price puts more of your money at risk until the race or game settles. See responsible gambling for limits and support.

    Comparing back and lay prices on the Terminal

    On B337's Terminal, prices from 40+ bookmakers across racing and sports sit in their own columns wherever each prices the market, with Betfair's back and lay next to them, so both halves of a rating are on one screen. A free account opens a limited view of the Terminal with live odds, without the Betfair prices a rating needs. Prices are picked up on a repeating cycle, so confirm both in your accounts before you bet. Laying stays with you, because B337 does not bet on the exchange. Bookmaker and exchange names are trade marks of their owners. B337 is not affiliated with them.

    Risk: Betting involves risk. A price on screen can trail the bookmaker's own. See responsible gambling for limits and support.

    Questions

    What is a good match rating?
    There is no official cut-off: the figure that matters is the one after commission, set against what the promotion pays. At an illustrative 6% commission, even a 100% rating at $3.00 keeps only 3.00 x 0.94 / 2.94 = 95.9% of a cash stake.
    What does an odds match rating of 100% mean?
    The back and lay prices are equal, so before commission the pair breaks even whatever the result. Commission on a winning lay still turns it into a small loss.
    Is a match rating the same as a conversion rate?
    No. A match rating compares two prices, while a conversion rate is the share of a bonus bet's face value you keep after laying it, which depends on the price as well as the gap.

    Related

    • Betting promotions in Australia: how they work and what they are worth
    • Back lay calculator for matched betting
    • Matched betting software in Australia: what the tools do and what to check
    • Qualifying loss meaning in matched betting
    • Minimum odds requirement for a bonus bet or promotion
    • Opt-in promotion meaning for betting offers
    • Protest payout meaning in horse racing betting
    • Qualifying bet meaning in Australian betting promotions

    Compare live odds on the Terminal

    A free account opens a limited view of the Terminal with live odds. Terminal View unlocks the rest of the board, read-only: 40+ bookmakers, Betfair back and lay prices, price history and closing lines. The screeners are a separate product.

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